Prediction and Results

Round 1

Team 1 Team 2 Prediction Result Final Result Odds Amount Won
Russia Saudi Arabia 2 1 1.44 -1.00
Egypt Uruguay 2 2 1.49 +0.49
Portugal Spain X X 3.21 +2.21
Morocco Iran X 2 4.10 -1.00
France Australia 1 1 1.25 +0.25
Peru Denmark 2 2 2.29 +1.29
Argentina Iceland 1 X 5.17 -1.00
Croatia Nigeria 1 1 1.65 +0.65
Brazil Switzerland 1 X 4.28 -1.00
Costa Rica Serbia 2 2 1.81 +0.81
Germany Mexico 1 2 7.42 -1.00
Sweden Korea 1 1 2.25 +1.25
Belgium Panama 1 1 1.21 +0.21
Tunisia England 2 2 1.46 +0.46
Poland Senegal X 2 3.24 -1.00
Colombia Japan 1 2 4.92 -1.00
           
    Prediction Ratio     56.2%
    Total Won     +0.62
    Total ROI     +3.8%

Round 2

Team 1 Team 2 Prediction Result Final Result Odds Amount Won
Russia Egypt 2 1 1.94 -1.00
Uruguay Saudi Arabia 2 1 1.20 -1.00
Portugal Morocco 2 1 1.68 -1.00
Spain Iran 1 1 1.20 +0.20
France Peru 2 1 1.61 -1.00
Denmark Australia 1 X 3.35 -1.00
Argentina Croatia X 2 3.99 -1.00
Iceland Nigeria 1 2 2.95 -1.00
Brazil Costa Rica 1 1 1.20 +0.20
Switzerland Serbia X 1 2.94 -1.00
Germany Sweden 1 1 1.47 +0.47
Mexico Korea 1 1 1.34 +0.34
Belgium Tunisia 1 1 1.69 +0.69
Panama England 2 2 1.22 +0.22
Poland Colombia 1 2 2.14 -1.00
Senegal Japan 1 X 2.90 -1.00
           
    Prediction Ratio     37.5%
    Total Won     -7.88
    Total ROI     -49%

Round 3

Team 1 Team 2 Prediction Result Final Result Odds Amount Won
Russia Uruguay 2 2 2.68 +1.68
Egypt Saudi Arabia X 2 5.05 -1.00
Portugal Iran 1 X 3.90 -1.00
Spain Morocco 1 X 4.79 -1.00
France Denmark 1 X 2.72 -1.00
Peru Australia X 1 2.44 -1.00
Argentina Nigeria X 1 1.49 -1.00
Iceland Croatia 2 2 1.83 +0.83
Brazil Serbia 1 1 1.46 +0.46
Switzerland Costa Rica 1 X 3.63 -1.00
Germany Korea 1 2 17.00 -1.00
Mexico Sweden 1 2 3.50 -1.00
Belgium England 2 1 3.53 -1.00
Panama Tunisia 2 2 1.84 +0.84
Poland Japan 1 1 2.65 +1.65
Senegal Colombia 2 2 1.76 +0.76
           
    Prediction Ratio     37.5%
    Total Won     -5.62
    Total ROI     -35%

Round of 16

Team 1 Team 2 Prediction Result Final Result Odds Amount Won
Argentina France 1 2 2.38 -1.00
Uruguay Portugal 2 1 2.96 -1.00
Spain Russia 1 X 4.02 -1.00
Croatia Denmark 1 X 3.18 -1.00
Brazil Mexico 1 1 1.49 +0.49
Belgium Japan 2 1 1.41 -1.00
Sweden Switzerland X 1 3.27 -1.00
England Colombia 1 X 3.09 -1.00
           
    Prediction Ratio     12.5%
    Total Won     -6.51
    Total ROI     -81%

Quarter Finals

Team 1 Team 2 Prediction Result Final Result Odds Amount Won
Uruguay France 2 2 2.00 +1.00
Brazil Belgium 1 2 3.67 -1.00
Sweden England X 2 1.85 -1.00
Russia Croatia 2 X 3.14 -1.00
           
    Prediction Ratio     25%
    Total Won     -3.00
    Total ROI     -75%

Semi Finals

Team 1 Team 2 Prediction Result Final Result Odds Amount Won
France Belgium 1 1 2.55 +1.55
England Croatia 1 X 2.96 -1.00
           
    Prediction Ratio     50%
    Total Won     +0.55
    Total ROI     27.5%

Finals

Team 1 Team 2 Prediction Result Final Result Odds Amount Won
France Croatia 1 1 2.10 +1.10
England Belgium 1 2 2.20 -1.00
           
    Prediction Ratio     50%
    Total Won     +0.10
    Total ROI     5%

All odds are from Odds Portal

The Model

Model Fitting